Annual TWDA 2012

Every year around this time, I take a look at what has won in the last two years from V:TES’s TWDA, usually by clan.

https://iclee.wordpress.com/2011/12/10/recent-winners-20102011/

https://iclee.wordpress.com/2010/12/06/recent-winners/

Why in December and not January, when the full year’s results will be in?

Because we have been having our qualifier weekend in late December the past few years, which has worked well attendancewise.  Because I used to care much more about clan results as a determiner of what sort of decks I might play in tournaments.

I’m not really into the clan paradigm anymore.  I have a bit of interest in the discipline paradigm, i.e. what disciplines have I never won with.  But, mostly, I think about what sort of concepts would be notable to win with, e.g. the “no decision” deck or the “play no cards” deck.

Still, it’s always an interesting way to cut the data.  So, data cutting:

Clan Sect Wins 2011 Wins 2012 Total
Brujah Camarilla 13 6 19
Caitiff Camarilla 1 2 3
Gangrel Independent 2 7 9
Malkavian Camarilla 17 13 30
Nosferatu Camarilla 7 2 9
Toreador Camarilla 13 12 25
Tremere Camarilla 8 15 23
Ventrue Camarilla 19 12 31
Grand Total 149

Original gangsta, clans and Caitiff.  I have 66 less TWDs for 2012 than 2011, so we can expect a dropoff on average.  Gangrel and Tremere clearly buck that trend.  Good to see Gangrel do something in 2012 after a tremendous tumble.

How do I know they took a tremendous tumble in recent years?

Clan Sect Wins – Total Wins – All Last 2 – %
Brujah Camarilla 19 68 28%
Caitiff Camarilla 3 16 19%
Gangrel Independent 9 82 11%
Malkavian Camarilla 30 131 23%
Nosferatu Camarilla 9 72 13%
Toreador Camarilla 25 99 25%
Tremere Camarilla 23 91 25%
Ventrue Camarilla 31 145 21%

Here is a breakdown of wins in the last two years, wins all time, and the percentage of the wins that occurred in the last two years.  Unsurprisingly, Brujah have done better more recently.  I’m kind of surprised, however, at how the numbers are across the board.  I guess in the absence of new toys for other sects, the old guard does well.

Another way to look at percentage of wins within the “class” Camarilla for the last two years and for all time is:

Clan Sect Last 2 – % All – %
Brujah Camarilla 13% 10%
Caitiff Camarilla 2% 2%
Gangrel Independent 6% 12%
Malkavian Camarilla 20% 19%
Nosferatu Camarilla 6% 10%
Toreador Camarilla 17% 14%
Tremere Camarilla 15% 13%
Ventrue Camarilla 21% 21%

This shows what percentage each “clan” has within the “class” = Camarilla.  So, throughout all of time and space, Malks and Ventrue each have about 20% of the Cammie wins.  That hasn’t changed in the last two years.  However, Brujah have 10% of all wins for these “clans” but have 13% of the wins for them in 2011-2012.  Bit clearer on the Gangrel dropoff, also brings up a Nos dropoff.

Clan Sect Wins 2011 Wins 2012 Total
Assamite Independent 7 4 11
Follower of Set Independent 6 8 14
Giovanni Independent 10 12 22
Ravnos Independent 2 3 5
Grand Total 52

Not all that exciting.  Ravnos are suffering, whatever.

Clan Sect Wins – Total Wins – All Last 2 – %
Assamite Independent 11 50 22%
Follower of Set Independent 14 62 23%
Giovanni Independent 22 91 24%
Ravnos Independent 5 41 12%

Ravnos not keeping pace in recent years compared to historical norm.  I’m really only using this chart to show all time wins, which I’ll get to more, later.

Clan Sect Last 2 – % All – %
Assamite Independent 21% 20%
Follower of Set Independent 27% 25%
Giovanni Independent 42% 37%
Ravnos Independent 10% 17%

Wow, this is unexpected.  In all of time and space, Ravnos only have 17% of Indie wins?!?  But, clown car …  What are the Assamites doing owning 20% of Indie winnage?

Clan Sect Wins 2011 Wins 2012 Total
Brujah antitribu Sabbat 4 2 6
Gangrel antitribu Sabbat 13 9 22
Lasombra Sabbat 7 9 16
Malkavian antitribu Sabbat 8 6 14
Nosferatu antitribu Sabbat 0 1 1
Pander Sabbat 2 1 3
Toreador antitribu Sabbat 2 2 4
Tremere antitribu Sabbat 11 6 17
Tzimisce Sabbat 6 6 12
Ventrue antitribu Sabbat 12 8 20
Grand Total 115

Well, yet again, time to remind people that !Gangrel do just fine in the modern meta.  Then, you get real losers.

Clan Sect Wins – Total Wins – All Last 2 – %
Brujah antitribu Sabbat 6 24 25%
Gangrel antitribu Sabbat 22 49 45%
Lasombra Sabbat 16 86 19%
Malkavian antitribu Sabbat 14 90 16%
Nosferatu antitribu Sabbat 1 28 4%
Pander Sabbat 3 27 11%
Toreador antitribu Sabbat 4 55 7%
Tremere antitribu Sabbat 17 60 28%
Tzimisce Sabbat 12 79 15%
Ventrue antitribu Sabbat 20 77 26%

Welp, obviously the fortunes of !Gangrel and !Toreador have gone in opposite directions.  !Nos have had it rougher, but since they’ve always sucked, it’s easier to forget them.

Clan Sect Last 2 – % All – %
Brujah antitribu Sabbat 5% 4%
Gangrel antitribu Sabbat 19% 9%
Lasombra Sabbat 14% 15%
Malkavian antitribu Sabbat 12% 16%
Nosferatu antitribu Sabbat 1% 5%
Pander Sabbat 3% 5%
Toreador antitribu Sabbat 3% 10%
Tremere antitribu Sabbat 15% 10%
Tzimisce Sabbat 10% 14%
Ventrue antitribu Sabbat 17% 13%

Ten Sabbies means 10% of all wins is equivalence, if not necessarily ideal.  I mean, why shouldn’t Lasombra and Tzimisce have higher percentages given that the antitribu share a bunch with their Cam-a-lot?

Not surprising that !Malks have such a large all time percentage or that it has gone down over time as Malks stole their discipline (identity).

Clan Sect Wins 2011 Wins 2012 Total
Abomination Independent 1 0 1
Ahrimanes Sabbat 9 4 13
Baali Independent 9 6 15
Blood Brother Sabbat 1 1 2
Daughter of Cacophony Independent 5 0 5
Gargoyle Independent 6 4 10
Harbinger of Skulls Sabbat 1 1 2
Kiasyd Sabbat 4 6 10
Nagaraja Independent 0 1 1
Salubri Independent 4 2 6
Salubri antritribu Sabbat 1 0 1
Samedi Independent 3 0 3
True Brujah Independent 4 5 9
Grand Total 78

One might think that bloodlines would do well this year, given that they were the last freshness of cards.  Apparently not, as the bloodline win total drops from 48 to 30.  In case I don’t note it elsewhere, 22% of all bloodline wins happened in 2011, so it’s more likely that 2011 was just a massive aberration.

Clan Sect Wins – Total Wins – All Last 2 – %
Abomination Independent 1 2 50%
Ahrimanes Sabbat 13 46 28%
Baali Independent 15 33 45%
Blood Brother Sabbat 2 5 40%
Daughter of Cacophony Independent 5 13 38%
Gargoyle Independent 10 35 29%
Harbinger of Skulls Sabbat 2 6 33%
Kiasyd Sabbat 10 30 33%
Nagaraja Independent 1 1 100%
Salubri Independent 6 18 33%
Salubri antritribu Sabbat 1 6 17%
Samedi Independent 3 11 27%
True Brujah Independent 9 12 75%

Um, yeah, last two years kind of good for bloodlines.

Clan Sect Last 2 – % All – %
Abomination Independent 1% 1%
Ahrimanes Sabbat 17% 21%
Baali Independent 19% 15%
Blood Brother Sabbat 3% 2%
Daughter of Cacophony Independent 6% 6%
Gargoyle Independent 13% 16%
Harbinger of Skulls Sabbat 3% 3%
Kiasyd Sabbat 13% 14%
Nagaraja Independent 1% 0%
Salubri Independent 8% 8%
Salubri antritribu Sabbat 1% 3%
Samedi Independent 4% 5%
True Brujah Independent 12% 6%

The most interesting thing here is how stable the bloodlines have been internally to their bloodline “class”.  Of course, when most bloodlines wins have been in the last two years, then, obviously, the all time percentages are going to correlate strongly to recent percentages.  Still, only Trujah feel like an outlier and that’s to be expected now that they have learned the power of Auspex bleed bounce.

Clan Sect Wins 2011 Wins 2012 Total
Akunanse Laibon 6 3 9
Guruhi Laibon 9 7 16
Ishtarri Laibon 6 4 10
Osebo Laibon 3 1 4
Grand Total 39

Whatever?  Hold on, sweet chariot!  So, in 2011-2012, Laibon have half as many wins as bloodlines?  Well, at least they collectively beat the Ventrue.  Go Laibon!

Clan Sect Wins – Total Wins – All Last 2 – %
Akunanse Laibon 9 24 38%
Guruhi Laibon 16 26 62%
Ishtarri Laibon 10 26 38%
Osebo Laibon 4 14 29%

And –

Clan Sect Last 2 – % All – %
Akunanse Laibon 23% 27%
Guruhi Laibon 41% 29%
Ishtarri Laibon 26% 29%
Osebo Laibon 10% 16%

No shocker that Nana has made the Guruhi sexy.  Osebo are becoming forgotten.  Though, all of the Laibon have been doing better in recent years.

Let’s look at some deltas.  Here we have the biggest losers from 2011 to 2012:

Clan Sect Total
Imbued Imbued -8
Brujah Camarilla -7
None (blank) -7
Ventrue Camarilla -7
Ahrimanes Sabbat -5
Daughter of Cacophony Independent -5
Nosferatu Camarilla -5
Tremere antitribu Sabbat -5
Malkavian Camarilla -4
Gangrel antitribu Sabbat -4
Ventrue antitribu Sabbat -4

Yes, Imbued.  None?  That would be The Lasombra’s doesn’t fit into a clan group.  This just doesn’t seem all that telling without the actual totals, so here they are:

Clan Sect Wins 2011 Wins 2012 Wins – Total Total
Imbued Imbued 9 1 10 -8
Brujah Camarilla 13 6 19 -7
None (blank) 27 20 47 -7
Ventrue Camarilla 19 12 31 -7
Ahrimanes Sabbat 9 4 13 -5
Daughter of Cacophony Independent 5 0 5 -5
Nosferatu Camarilla 7 2 9 -5
Tremere antitribu Sabbat 11 6 17 -5
Malkavian Camarilla 17 13 30 -4
Gangrel antitribu Sabbat 13 9 22 -4
Ventrue antitribu Sabbat 12 8 20 -4

In terms of percentage lost, can’t beat DoC, who drop 100% in a year.

Not a lot of winners:

Clan Sect Total
Tremere Camarilla 7
Gangrel Independent 5
Lasombra Sabbat 2
Follower of Set Independent 2
Giovanni Independent 2
Kiasyd Sabbat 2
True Brujah Independent 1
Nagaraja Independent 1
Nosferatu antitribu Sabbat 1
Ravnos Independent 1
Caitiff Camarilla 1

In truth, only really two winners, unless you want to include Nagaraja, who finally got a win.  Even so, the jumps for Gangrel and Tremere seem modest, though what I saw last year was the biggest jump being 8 additional wins, so those two are pretty much normal for big jumps in a year.  What may be less normal (have issue with not doing this that many years to get a larger sample size of deltas) is that only two jump significantly.

Another way to look at deltas is to get off the clan thing and look at “class”:

Class Total
Bloodline -18
Camarilla -11
Imbued -8
Independent 2
Laibon -9
None -7
Sabbat -15
Grand Total -66

Indies rock 2012!

Some other “class” data:

Class Total %
Bloodline 218 10%
Camarilla 704 34%
Imbued 62 3%
Independent 244 12%
Laibon 90 4%
None 196 9%
Sabbat 575 28%
Grand Total 2089 100%

All time.  And, 2011-2012 …

Class Total %
Bloodline 78 16%
Camarilla 149 30%
Imbued 10 2%
Independent 52 11%
Laibon 39 8%
None 47 10%
Sabbat 115 23%
Grand Total 490 100%

It’s long, but I think some folks might want to see every clan together.

Clan Wins 2011 Wins 2012 Wins – Total Wins – All
Abomination 1 0 1 2
Ahrimanes 9 4 13 46
Akunanse 6 3 9 24
Assamite 7 4 11 50
Baali 9 6 15 33
Blood Brother 1 1 2 5
Brujah 13 6 19 68
Brujah antitribu 4 2 6 24
Caitiff 1 2 3 16
Daughter of Cacophony 5 0 5 13
Follower of Set 6 8 14 62
Gangrel 2 7 9 82
Gangrel antitribu 13 9 22 49
Gargoyle 6 4 10 35
Giovanni 10 12 22 91
Guruhi 9 7 16 26
Harbinger of Skulls 1 1 2 6
Imbued 9 1 10 62
Ishtarri 6 4 10 26
Kiasyd 4 6 10 30
Lasombra 7 9 16 86
Malkavian 17 13 30 131
Malkavian antitribu 8 6 14 90
Nagaraja 0 1 1 1
None 27 20 47 196
Nosferatu 7 2 9 72
Nosferatu antitribu 0 1 1 28
Osebo 3 1 4 14
Pander 2 1 3 27
Ravnos 2 3 5 41
Salubri 4 2 6 18
Salubri antritribu 1 0 1 6
Samedi 3 0 3 11
Toreador 13 12 25 99
Toreador antitribu 2 2 4 55
Tremere 8 15 23 91
Tremere antitribu 11 6 17 60
True Brujah 4 5 9 12
Tzimisce 6 6 12 79
Ventrue 19 12 31 145
Ventrue antitribu 12 8 20 77
Totals 278 212 490 2089

Just to be clear, the third data column is the total of 2011 and 2012.  There’s only so much going back and messing with my pivot tables I wanted to do for presentation.

A lot of presentation and not much analysis.  I built so many redundant charts I can’t think of what I want to speak to.  Also, people can draw their own conclusions or be shocked to the extent that they didn’t already have an idea what these numbers would be.

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